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№ 04 / 09 · Flood risk

Is Winslow, Buckinghamshire at risk of flooding?

For anyone buying or renting in Winslow, Buckinghamshire.

Flooding is a small worry in Winslow, and what risk there is comes down from the sky. No postcode in the town lies in a river or sea flood zone. Only a handful are flagged for rain running off hard ground. Nothing in the town is on record as having flooded. Watch the gutters, then, because the rivers are someone else's problem.

On the Environment Agency's river-and-sea mapping, 0% of Winslow's postcodes fall in flood zone 3, the highest-probability band, and 0% fall in flood zone 2, the medium-probability fringe outside it. That puts the whole town in zone 1. For river and sea flooding, that is as low as the Environment Agency's scale goes.

What remains is surface water: heavy rain that has nowhere to go fast enough, collecting in dips, low gardens and roads where the drains can't keep up. It is a localised kind of risk that turns up one street or one garden at a time, and a town-wide average does a poor job of describing it. Put the exact address into the Environment Agency's long-term flood risk service, which maps surface water separately, and look at which way the garden slopes on the day you view it.

The climate-adjusted version of the river-and-sea zones, where the Environment Agency models a wetter future, also puts 0% of Winslow's postcodes inside it. That is a modelled scenario, and it is reassuring, though it cannot promise anything about the weather itself.

For insurance, a home outside every river and sea zone, in a town with no recorded flooding, is about as easy a flood question as an insurer gets asked. Premiums are set one home at a time, though. A property that shows up on the surface-water map can still prompt a closer look.

Count every flood measure together, surface water included, and about 3% of Winslow's postcodes come out at high risk on at least one of them, about 4% at medium and about 15% at low. That is a wider net than the river-and-sea zones, so it catches homes those zones leave out, and nearly all of them come from rain. About 2% of postcodes also come under the Buckingham and River Ouzel Internal Drainage Board, which looks after the ditches and watercourses around the edge of the town. Winslow's name comes from the Old English for a mound, and that has aged well in flood terms.

The Environment Agency's modelled flood extents put 0% of Winslow's postcodes at high risk with defences and 0% at high risk without them. So the question of whether a wall or embankment stands between the water and the house never comes up here, because the model finds no high-risk water to hold back. Where a defence does appear in that model, it means only that one exists, and says nothing about how well it would hold.

The nearest tide gauge is at Portsmouth, where sea level rose about 2 millimetres a year between 1962 and 2023. That is the rate measured at that one gauge over those years. Portsmouth is also a fair reminder of how far Winslow is from the nearest sea.

No part of the town falls inside a recorded historic flood outline. That is a good sign, though it only covers floods that were noticed and written down, so it cannot prove the town has never been wet.

Flood risk is a real strength in Winslow, with rain in the wrong garden as the only thing worth checking.

Check it for your address. Flood risk can change from one street to the next, so look up the exact address on the government's long term flood risk service.

Sources: Environment Agency · Environment Agency tide gauges (via PSMSL)

Data to May 2026 · Figures checked 9 October 2026 (what this means)